Can We Expect Anything Other Than Biden vs. Trump In 2024?


Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.

sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): We know the 2022 midterm elections haven’t happened yet, but this summer has seen an unusual amount of activity on the 2024 front. 

Namely, many Americans, including Democrats, are really down on the idea of President Biden seeking a second term, while former President Donald Trump continues to dominate the news cycle. A sizable portion of Americans say they don’t want Biden or Trump to have a second term, but is there, uh … a path for anyone who isn’t Trump or Biden in 2024?

Let’s tackle this chat in two parts:

  1. First, what is the case for — or against — any other Democratic presidential candidate breaking through?
  2. And second, what is the case for…

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